The economic theory of growth developed by R. Solow (Nobel Prize in Economics in 1987) shows the importance of demography as a source of growth. In the economic model, it is actually the "active demography, that is to say, the evolution of the quantity (size) and quality (qualification, competence, motivation) of the workforce.
While demographics dynamic is the necessary condition for renewal of the workforce, but it is by no means sufficient condition: is more generational replacement of assets that the replacement of generations as such which is decisive for the economic health of a country . If, for assets, we must give birth to new generations or welcome new immigrants, new generations and new immigrants do not become spontaneously active, especially if the system of education, training and integration is failed. Making babies is one thing, to assets is another.
It is true that nature is well done. When a baby is born, there is a mouth (consumption) to feed more, but a baby is normally made up too - and happily - with members of (labor) and brain (knowledge and skills). Every human being from birth is a creator of wealth potential. But this is a potential while the needs are immediate. Society (and parents) has at least 16 years to turn this potential into an active worker and competent as she is already and immediately a tyrannical and dissatisfied consumers. And all new parents know how much a baby who is hungry can be tyrannical or capricious as a child ... a true dictator
Migration flows also affect the active population within a territory because they will change the number of mouths to feed, the number of arms and the number of brains in varying proportions depending on the policies in force in the host country. In our country, social policy (financing of pensions, family policies) and migration have combined to undermine the basis of the active population. In this context, they are no new births or immigration that are likely to rebalance our system of financing pensions.
A country is doomed when its population is not renewed. In this sense, the Malthusian policies are to be banned. But it's even worse when they are the generations of workers who are vulnerable. Have babies, live longer, welcome new immigrants should not be bad news. These are bad news in the context of a welfare state whose policies lead to multiply the outlets at the same time they paralyze the arms and offset the brain.
While demographics dynamic is the necessary condition for renewal of the workforce, but it is by no means sufficient condition: is more generational replacement of assets that the replacement of generations as such which is decisive for the economic health of a country . If, for assets, we must give birth to new generations or welcome new immigrants, new generations and new immigrants do not become spontaneously active, especially if the system of education, training and integration is failed. Making babies is one thing, to assets is another.
It is true that nature is well done. When a baby is born, there is a mouth (consumption) to feed more, but a baby is normally made up too - and happily - with members of (labor) and brain (knowledge and skills). Every human being from birth is a creator of wealth potential. But this is a potential while the needs are immediate. Society (and parents) has at least 16 years to turn this potential into an active worker and competent as she is already and immediately a tyrannical and dissatisfied consumers. And all new parents know how much a baby who is hungry can be tyrannical or capricious as a child ... a true dictator
Migration flows also affect the active population within a territory because they will change the number of mouths to feed, the number of arms and the number of brains in varying proportions depending on the policies in force in the host country. In our country, social policy (financing of pensions, family policies) and migration have combined to undermine the basis of the active population. In this context, they are no new births or immigration that are likely to rebalance our system of financing pensions.
A country is doomed when its population is not renewed. In this sense, the Malthusian policies are to be banned. But it's even worse when they are the generations of workers who are vulnerable. Have babies, live longer, welcome new immigrants should not be bad news. These are bad news in the context of a welfare state whose policies lead to multiply the outlets at the same time they paralyze the arms and offset the brain.
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